Alright, so Albert Pujols is the MVP. And Hanley Ramirez and Ryan Howard will likely be filled out second and third on most ballots. And those guys are very deserving. However, I wonder if people are really seeing what Troy Tulowitzki has done over the last 4 months. He's a shortstop who's slugged over .600 for 4 straight months. How many times in the history of the sport has that been done?
Remember the MVP races that were all about who had a huge September and carried their team into the playoffs? I think Vlad won one like that. Well, Pujols being the MVP has been a foregone conclusion seemingly forever, and all three division races have been anticlimactic, so I can't help but wonder how writers would feel if races were a little closer, and late season production was more heavily weighted.
On June 6th, Tulo was hitting .216/.306/.377, and the Rockies were 9 games under .500 and in last place. Since then, he's hit .337/.418/.633, and the Rockies are 32 games over .500 and have, as of today, punched their ticket to the postseason.
Not convinced? Tulo's numbers are better than Ryan Howard's. After today's Rockies game, and before today's Phillies game (which is when I'm writing this), Tulo sits at .299/.380/.553, and Howard's line is .276/.357/.564. Yes, Howard has driven in a ridiculous number of runs, but he has three great players batting in front of him, he has 70 more abs than Tulo and Tulo has as many runs scored, and my people in the National League West tell me that Tulo doesn't play good or great defense at the game's most demanding defensive position, he plays spectacular defense at the game's most demanding defensive position.
Hanley has had a better offensive season than Tulo, but his defense is nowhere near as good, and Hanley has had his worst month when his team needed him the most.
If Hanley's Marlins wind up 6 or 7 games back, or even 8 or 9 games back, does he get credit for being the best player on a contender? What is a contender? Meaningful games in September? Meaningful games the second half of September? I'm assuming that Prince Fielder won't get much love from the writers, but maybe he will. If Hanley's Marlins were basically done 5 days ago, and Derrek Lee's Cubs were done two or three weeks ago, and Prince's Brew Crew were done a really long time ago, where do you draw the line? They're not on
bad teams.
My guess is that Tulo comes in 5th. That Hanley is perceived as having played for a contender, and that he and Howard finish 2nd and 3rd in the voting. Prince edges Tulo for 4th.
I forgot about Pablo Sandoval. How do you quantify his value? He's the only guy in that lineup that's good. That lineup is ridiculous. Molina hits big homers, but he's hitting .265. Plus, the Giants didn't make the playoffs. This MVP thing is very subjective, that's all I'm saying.